what is an over under prediction in football and how to make a good over under prediction?
over under prediction in football
over/under prediction today
| Competition | Match | Tips | odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden | Kalmar vs Norrkoping | over 1.5 | 1.33 | |
| Netherlands | Volendam vs Excelsior | over 2.5 | 1.47 | |
| Bundesliga 2 | Magdeburg vs Arminia Bielefeld | over 2.5 | 1.47 | |
| Premier League | Everton vs Bournemouth | over 1.5 | 1.22 |
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What is a Football over/under prediction?
The football Over Under prediction, also known as the Under/Over prediction, is a type of sports prediction that is very popular with punters. An Over Under football prediction means betting on 'more' or 'less' goals in a match.
If you make an Over bet, you are literally betting on "More than". On the other hand, if you bet on an Under, you are betting on the "Under". There are different types of Over Under predictions. There can be differences between bookmakers and also between different types of sports betting. Everything is explained below. Enjoy reading!
The different types of football (soccer) over/under bets
Football being the most coveted sport for bettors, several types of Over Under bets are available at all online bookmakers.
Football over under 0.5 bets
Even if this bet is not the most popular, the first possible Over Under bet is the 0.5 goals. You have the choice to bet on an Over 0.5 (meaning +0.5 goals in the match), or an Under 0.5 (meaning -0.5 goals in the match).
If you bet on an Over 0.5 and the number of goals in the match exceeds 0.5 (i.e. 1 goal or more), then you will win. If you bet on an Under 0.5 and the number of goals in the match does not exceed 0.5 (i.e. 0 goals), then the Under 0.5 prediction is counted as a winner. For more concrete information, here are some examples of Over Under 0.5 predictions.
Real marid 3-1 Sevilla | The Over 0.5 prediction is the winner, while the Under 0.5 is the loser.
Milan 0-0 Lazio | Over 0.5 prediction is losing, while Under 0.5 is winning.
Marseille 1-1 PSG | The Over 0.5 prediction is a winner, while the Under 0.5 is a loser.
Please note that even if they are very often winners, Over 0.5 bets are always at low odds at bookmakers (1.07 on average). Under 0.5 bets are more rarely winning but are always at very high odds. This is easily explained because the only option for the Under 0.5 to be valid is for the score to be 0-0 at the end of the match.
Do you want to bet on the Under 0.5 in a match? Our advice is: look at both the odds of the Under 0.5 and the odds of the exact score 0-0. Sometimes the odds differ between these two bets even though they represent the same thing. Think about this to maximise your winnings!
Over Under 1.5 predictions in football
The level above the Over Under 0.5 is the 1.5 prediction which is also available at all sports betting sites. If you have followed what has been explained before, you will understand that the Over 1.5 bet means "More than 1.5 goals in the match", while the Under 1.5 bet means "Less than 1.5 goals in the match".
Liverpool 4-2 Leeds| The Over 1.5 prediction is the winner, while the Under 1.5 is the loser.
AS Roma 1-0 Inter | The Over 1.5 prediction is a loser, while the Under 1.5 is a winner.
Barcelona 1-1 Mallorca | Over 1.5 is the winner and Under 1.5 is the loser.
Since most of the matches end with at least 2 goals on the scoreboard, the odds are higher for the Under 1.5 than for the Over 1.5 at the bookmakers.
Do you want to bet on the Under 1.5 in a match? Do not hesitate to look at the odds of the bet "Both teams score: no". Indeed, it may be higher than the odds offered for the Under 1.5, for the same scenario. The Under 1.5 includes three possibilities, namely the following scores: 1-0, 0-0 and 0-1. In all three cases, none or only one team scores in the match. It is therefore important to look at the odds of these two bets. Keep this tip in mind.
Over Under 2.5 betting on football
We come to the most played prediction in the Over Under football betting area, namely the Over Under 2.5 bet. This is because the Over 2.5 and the Under 2.5 are offered at interesting and often balanced odds by bookmakers. On average, these odds are around 1.60 each.
The rules of this bet are similar to the previous Over Under bets. If the number of goals in a match exceeds the threshold of 2.5 (3 or more goals), the Over 2.5 prediction is counted as a winner. Conversely, if the total number of goals in a match does not exceed the 2.5 threshold (i.e. two goals or less), the Under 2.5 prediction is counted as the winner. To help you understand, here are some examples of Over Under 2.5 predictions.
Chelsea 3-1 Leeds | The Over 2.5 prediction is the winner, while the Under 2.5 is the loser.
PSG 2-0 Lille | Over 2.5 prediction is a loser, while the Under 2.5 is a winner.
Benfica 3-2 Sporting | The Over 2.5 prediction is a winner, while the Under 2.5 is a loser.
As most football matches end with 2 or 3 goals, you will have to be precise in your analysis if you are going for an Over Under 2.5 goals prediction. Every detail counts: the goals scored and conceded by both teams, the stakes of the match, the styles of play, the absences, etc. If your analysis is accurate, you will be able to take advantage of good odds on this type of bet and why not walk away with some winnings.
Even if the Over Under 2.5 bet is the most popular and the most interesting in terms of odds, there are also Over Under 3.5, Over Under 4.5, and Over Under 5.5 bets which are available on most bookmakers and matches. Something for every type of bettor to enjoy.
Football: how to analyse Over Under bets?
For your bet on the total number of goals in a football match to be successful, several criteria must be analysed. According to our football betting experts, here are the ones you should take into account:
- The form of each team
- The form of the key players
- Latest defensive performances (number of clean-sheets, average goals conceded, shots taken per game)
- Latest attacking performance (goals scored on average, chances created, shots on goal per game)
- The location of the match
- The stakes of the match
- Absences (suspensions, injuries, personal reasons, coach's choice...)
- The usual tactics
- The psychological aspect of the teams (derby, rivalry...)
- The calendar of each team
Studying these 10 criteria will be really important in order to gain reliability on your Over Under predictions.
How to make a good Over Under prediction on Football?
In summary, to establish the best possible Over Under predictions, you will have to respect several steps. The first is obviously to analyze the matches (as a reminder, the criteria to take into account are a few paragraphs above).
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